Washington Watch: Here are the congressional seats that have flipped in the midterm elections


Republicans needed to flip just five seats in Tuesday’s midterm elections in order to win control of the House of Representatives and had to net only one Senate seat to overcome Democrats’ 50-seat majority, which relies on Vice President Kamala Harris to cast tiebreaking votes.

Republicans came into election night with significantly better odds of winning the House than Democrats and slightly better odds of winning the Senate. As of Tuesday morning, FiveThirtyEight had placed Republicans’ odds of taking majority control of the House at 84 in 100 and the party’s odds in the Senate at 59 in 100.

But as Democrats have held on to key seats and few seats overall have flipped, betting markets have shifted to give Republicans only about a 20% chance of winning a Senate majority, although they are still favored to win the House.

Read: Betting markets now see Democrats keeping their grip on Senate as midterm results so far don’t indicate a red wave

As the Associated Press calls results nationwide, follow along here for updates on which seats are flipping.


The first congressional seats to flip were in Florida, where Republican Anna Paulina Luna defeated Democrat Eric Lynn by 8.6 points (with 99% of results reported). The newly redrawn district had been represented by Democrat Charlie Crist, who left office earlier this year to launch an unsuccessful challenge against Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis.

A second seat flipped in the state is in the Seventh District, where Republican Cory Mills came out on top with 58.5% of the vote, defeating Democrat Karen Green. The district, currently represented by retiring Democrat Stephanie Murphy, was redrawn to be solidly red.


Republican Jen Kiggans ousted Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria in Virginia’s Second Congressional District. Luria’s was one of two Virginia seats deemed tossups by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. With 73% of results reported, Kiggans had received 55% of the vote.

The other incumbent in a tossup race in the state, Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger, secured re-election with about 52% of the vote.


Republican Andy Ogles won the contest to represent Tennessee’s Fifth Congressional District, the AP projected shortly after midnight. He received about 56% of the vote, with 97% of results reported.

Ogles will replace retiring Democrat Jim Cooper, who decided not to seek re-election following redistricting that shifted the district from solid Democratic to “likely” Republican, according to Cook Political Report.

North Carolina

Democrat Wiley Nickel defeated Republican Bo Hines in North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District with 51.3% of the vote. The state senator’s win marked the first pickup for Democrats.

The race was rated as a tossup by CPR following Republican Rep. Ted Budd’s decision to leave the House to run for North Carolina’s open Senate seat. The AP has called the Senate race for Budd.


Two-term Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez defeated Republican Mayra Flores, who won a special election in June to replace Democrat Filemon Vela Jr., who left Congress to work at a lobbying firm. The two incumbents squared off following redistricting. Gonzalez picked up just under 53% of the vote, compared with Flores’s 44%.

New York

With 54% of the vote, Republican George Santos flipped New York’s Third Congressional District. He will replace Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi, who vacated his seat to launch an unsuccessful gubernatorial bid.

On Wednesday around noon Eastern time, the AP called three New York congressional races rated by CPR as tossups for Republicans: the 4th, 17th and 19th districts.

County executive Marc Molinaro’s win in the new 19th district adds another Republican to the state’s congressional delegation. The two other Republican wins flipped seats currently held by Democrats.

In the 4th district, Anthony D’Esposito defeated his Democratic opponent by about 4 points, gaining the seat held by retiring Democratic Rep. Kathleen Rice. And in the 17th district, Republican state Assemblyman Mike Lawler defeated Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, the chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.


Shortly before 2 a.m. Eastern time, the AP called the Pennsylvania Senate race for the state’s Democratic lieutenant governor, John Fetterman. With 86% reported, Fetterman edged out Republican hopeful Mehmet Oz by 2.4 points. Fetterman will replace retiring Republican Sen. Pat Toomey, a major win for Democrats as they seek to hold on to majority control.


Republican Rep. Steve Chabot lost his re-election bid to Democratic nominee Greg Landsman. Chabot received 47.5% of the vote to Landsman’s 52.5% in a race deemed a tossup by CPR.


Democrat Hillary Scholten won Michigan’s Third Congressional District, which was rated by CPR as “lean” Democratic following incumbent Republican Rep. Peter Meijer’s primary loss to John Gibbs.


Retired Navy SEAL Derrick Van Orden, a Republican, defeated Democratic state Sen. Brad Pfaff by 4 points. The seat was rated as “likely” Republican by CPR following Democratic Rep. Ron Kind’s decision not to seek re-election. In 2020, Kind beat then-first time congressional candidate Van Orden by about 3 points.


Republican state Sen. Zach Nunn defeated incumbent Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne, the AP said Wednesday afternoon. Nunn squeaked by with 50.3% of the vote, ousting the state’s only Democratic member of Congress.

New Jersey

Republican Tom Kean Jr. defeated incumbent Democrat Tom Malinowski by 4 points in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District, the AP said Wednesday at 6 p.m. Eastern. The two-term representative’s district leaned Republican, according to CPR.

New Mexico

Democrat Gabriel Vasquez defeated freshman Republican Rep. Yvette Herrell in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District, the AP said on Thursday. By a margin of less than 1,300 votes, Vasquez’s win will make New Mexico once again have an all-Democratic congressional delegation.


Republican businessman Eli Crane defeated three-term Democratic Rep. Tom O’Halleran in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District. Redistricting shifted O’Halleran’s seat 9-points to the right, according to FiveThirtyEight.

This article was originally published by Marketwatch.com. Read the original article here.

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