An earlier version of this story cited the wrong firm for the picks. It has been corrected.
Once-hot chip stocks Nvidia Corp., Marvell Technology Inc., and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. each lost more than half their value over the course of 2022, but Rosenblatt analysts see them as well positioned for the new year.
Those three chip stocks cracked Rosenblatt’s list of top picks for 2023, along with Micron Technology Inc. MU, -1.10% The chip names could all offer upside of at least 100%, based on Rosenblatt’s latest price targets. Marvell and Nvidia are tied for Rosenblatt semiconductor analyst Hans Mosesmann’s No. 1 pick.
“The re-emergence of silicon customization after 20 years of secular decline, the ASIC [application-specific integrated circuit] market has become a strategic thrust for both Broadcom and Marvell, and a skill set not available to other semi players in our lifetime,” the Rosenblatt analysts wrote. Marvell MRVL, +0.76% gets the nod over Broadcom AVGO, +0.24% as it’s “an easier play on infrastructure customization” and doesn’t have the handset or enterprise software elements that Broadcom has.
Mosesmann has a $125 price target on Marvell’s stock, which closed Friday just north of $34.
The Rosenbaktt analysts liked Nvidia NVDA, +0.08% as it’s “in a class by itself on [software] compiler, vertical market optimizations, and accelerator libraries that easily offset many of the [hardware] specs of new AI chip companies.” Mosesmann has a $320 price target on the shares, which finished Friday’s session near $146.
Next up is AMD AMD, -0.08%, which remains a compelling share-gain story in the eyes of Mosesmann. His price target of $200 is well above AMD’s roughly $65 Friday close.
“For years, we took incoming flak on the crazy notion that AMD (yes that AMD), could capture 10% market share,” the analysts wrote. “The narrative has changed to AMD’s favor; however there is skepticism on the 30% share level in x86 CPUs vs. Intel. We think 50% is coming and there is no reason why it cannot go much more than that.”
Mosesmann also said he liked Micron as a cyclical play. He acknowledged that inventories could peak in the first half of 2023, adding to pressure on average selling prices in the DRAM [dynamic random-access memory] market, but he predicted “a ripe 2H23 memory market for investors.” Mosesmann has a $100 price target on Micron’s stock, which closed Friday just shy of $50.