The Conversation: The CDC had 17.5 million ways to roll out the COVID-19 vaccine — the actual strategy ‘performed exceptionally well’


The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s plan for who gets vaccines and in what order saved nearly as many lives and prevented nearly as many infections as a theoretically perfect rollout, according to a new mathematical model we developed to assess the rollout of COVID–19 inoculations in the U.S.

In December 2020, with a limited number of vaccines available, the CDC had to make a hard decision: Who gets the COVID-19 vaccines first? It decided to divide the U.S. population into four groups for vaccine prioritization…

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