Market Snapshot: Dow turns positive in afternoon trade with earnings season set to pick up steam


U.S. stocks were mostly higher Monday afternoon after flipping between small gains and losses, though the S&P 500 remained near the top end of its recent range ahead of the first full week of first-quarter earnings season.

How stocks are trading
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.19% was up 21 points, or 0.1%, at 33,906.
  • The S&P 500 SPX, +0.18% was trading between slight gains and losses at around 4,137.
  • The Nasdaq Composite COMP, +0.15% was down 8 points, or 0.1%, at 12,111.

Last week, the Dow rose 1.2%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.3%. The Dow booked a fourth straight week of gains for its longest winning streak since October, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

What’s driving markets

The first-quarter earnings-reporting season picks up steam this week, with 60 S&P 500 companies, including six Dow components, reporting quarterly results, according to FactSet. Those companies will report as Wall Street analysts remain pessimistic about results for the quarter and the prospect of another so-called earnings recession in which profits contract for at least two straight quarters.

Read: Tesla, Netflix earnings due: Cheaper cars, cheaper content, more workout videos, as ‘earnings recession’ seems likely

“The market is cautiously looking at earnings,” said Ty Young, founder and chief executive of Ty J. Young Wealth Management, which manages $1 billion in assets from Atlanta. “We have interest rates that have been going up and up, and that’s going to affect earnings; it hasn’t yet, but it’s going to dramatically at some point.”

“Inflation has stabilized, but at quite higher levels than the historical average, which is a problem and another thing that continues to worry the market,” Young said via phone. “Finally, the market is concerned about the prospects of a recession.”

As of Monday, the S&P 500 was trading near the top end of the 3,800 to 4,200 range within which it has vacillated for about five months.

Big banks kicked off the first-quarter U.S. earnings season last Friday, and the positive response to those reports signals easing anxiety about the financial sector and broader confidence about company profitability — even while traders solidify their expectations for another quarter-of-a-percentage-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in May.

The market’s more relaxed tone was evident in various barometers. As of Monday afternoon, the Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX VIX, -0.59%, a gauge of expected stock-market volatility, was around 17.2 —- one of its lowest levels since January 2022. And as of last Friday, the ICE BofAML MOVE index of Treasury volatility was beneath its pre-Silicon Valley Bank levels.

The New York Fed’s Empire State business-conditions index, a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state, jumped 35.4 points in April to 10.8, the regional Fed bank said Monday. This was the first reading in positive territory in five months.

Economists had expected a reading of negative 15, according to a survey by The Wall Street Journal. Any reading above zero indicates improving conditions.

The National Association of Home Builders monthly confidence index rose one point to 45 in April, the trade group said on Monday. This is the fourth month in a row that sentiment has improved among builders. The slight rise in confidence matched expectations on Wall Street.

Treasury yields were mostly higher, led by a jump in the 2-month T-bill rate , while the ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.54% rose 0.6%.

“Everyone is just waiting on their toes to see what happens to bank results,” said Derek Tang, an economist at Monetary Policy Analytics in Washington. “Whereas attention was on a lot of big banks last week, this week you have a lot of regional or midsize banks reporting. People will want to know what they plan to do with their loan books and how conservative they will be.”

Banking stress “has been contained and is not getting worse, and people are taking that as good news,” as markets position for the likelihood of one more Fed hike and possibility that policy makers won’t cut rates as quickly as thought, Tang said via phone.

Read: Why 5% interest rates might not derail the stock market or the U.S. economy

Companies in focus

Jamie Chisholm contributed to this article.

This article was originally published by Read the original article here.

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