Deutsche Bank says Federal Reserve’s 2023 interest-rate forecast is likely to point to a peak level of 5.1%


The Federal Reserve’s interest-rate forecasts, set to be released next Wednesday, are likely to reflect a fed-funds rate that peaks at 5.1% next year and stays at that level by the end of next year, according to economists at Deutsche Bank. That would be up from a 4.6% 2023 year-end forecast released by the Fed in September. Deutsche Bank expects Fed policy makers to reach the 5.1% fed-funds rate level by next May. Friday’s hotter-than-expected producer prices report for November revealed that price pressures moderated by less than analysts had hoped for, and left stock traders unable to make up their minds about the data. Dow industrials DJIA, -0.90% toggled between slight gains and losses in afternoon trading.

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