A recession could be nine months away, according to this telltale gauge


The roughly $25 trillion Treasury market first began flashing this telltale sign that a U.S. recession likely lurks on the horizon almost a year ago, according to Bespoke Investment Group.

It was late October of 2022 when the 3-month Treasury yield BX:TMUBMUSD03M first eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield BX:TMUBMUSD10Y, resulting in an “inversion” of a key part of the yield curve that’s been a reliable predictor of past recessions.


This article was originally published by Marketwatch.com. Read the original article here.

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